FORECAST & DISCUSSION
JACKSON-WEST TENNESSEE AREA FORECAST
WEST TENNESSEE WEATHER ONLINE JACKSON TN
5:06 AM CDT Tuesday, October 14, 2008
.TODAY…VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. HIGH AROUND 80.
.TONIGHT..PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 60.
.WEDNESDAY…VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. HIGH 81.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW 58.
~EXTENDED FORECAST~
.THURSDAY…DECREASING CLOUDINESS. HIGH 68.
.FRIDAY…PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW. NEAR 50. HIGH 69.
.SATURDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW 45. HIGH 68.
.SUNDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW 42. HIGH 73.
.MONDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW 44. HIGH 76.
HOLMES
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
WEST TENNESSEE WEATHER ONLINE JACKSON TN
4:58 AM CDT Tuesday, October 14, 2008
.SYNOPSIS
06Z SFC CHART SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING TO RIDGE FROM NEW ENG SW INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM CHI TO SGF TO OKC THEN TO E-TX. 00Z UA CHARTS SHOWING RIDGE OVER THE EAST AND SPLIT TROF OVER THE WEST. PER WV LOOP, NORTHERN PORTION RACING THROUGH WESTERN GRT. LAKES. SRN TROF HUNG UP OVER THE 4-CORNERS AREA OF THE SW U.S.
HERE IN WEST TN AT 09Z, PATCHY CLOUDINESS PREVAILS… LIGHT IF ANY WINDS AND TEMPS RANGING FROM THE UPR 50S TO MID 60S.
.SHORT TERM [TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY]
FOUR-CORNERS S/W WILL SHEAR OUT NE AS RIDGE FLATTENS DURING THIS PERIOD. FRONT TO OUR WEST WILL LOSE UPR SUPPORT TO ADVANCE EAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY. IT WILL APPROACH THE MO BOOTHEEL BY EARLY WED EVENING. GIVEN TRENDS OF THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND THIS AM’S SAT IMAGES WILL GO WITH A VARIABLE CLOUDINESS FORECAST DURING THE DAYTIME AND PC AT NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WL GO WITH CHC POPS ON LATE WED NIGHT INTO THU AS FRONT APPROACHES. WILL GO WITH DECR CLDNSS ON THU. HIGHS THU IN UPR 60S PER MAV APPEAR REASONABLE.
.LONG TERM [FRIDAY THORUGH MONDAY]
DIGGING TROF WL ARRIVE LATE FRIDAY. WITH LTL MOISTURE TO WORK WITH NOT PLANNING ON INCLUDING ANY POPS IN FCST ATTM. MAV GUIDANCE’S MAX OF 64 AT MKL FOR SAT MAY BE A LTL LOW. AM FOLLOWING ECMWF’S GUIDANCE WHICH DOES NOT HAVE THICKNESSES AS LOW AS GFS. SO WL TEMPER TEMPS A BIT, BUT UPR 60S ON SAT LK REASONABLE. NEXT S/W WILL BE SLIDING SE FROM THE UPR MS VALLEY ON MON. OUR WX SHUD BE QUIET WITH TEMPS RECOVERING TO THE 70S.
HOLMES
