FORECAST & DISCUSSION
JACKSON-WEST TENNESSEE AREA FORECAST
WEST TENNESSEE WEATHER ONLINE JACKSON TN
5:05 AM CDT Friday, October 10, 2008
.TODAY…MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER. HIGH 82.
.TONIGHT…MAINLY CLEAR. LOW NEAR 60.
.SATURDAY…PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH 84.
.SATURDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 62.
~EXTENDED FORECAST~
.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 81. LOW 65.
.TUESDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 65. HIGH 79.
.WEDNESDAY…CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 61. HIGH 76.
.THURSDAY…CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 62. HIGH 77.
HOLMES
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
WEST TENNESSEE WEATHER ONLINE JACKSON TN
4:58 AM CDT Friday, October 10, 2008
.SYNOPSIS
CLEAR SKIES AND GENLY CALM WINDS PREVAIL OVER W-TN AT 09Z. TEMPS HUGGING 50F IN MOST LOCALES. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC LOCATED OVR AR. UPR LOW SPINNING OFF THE COAST OF GA PER WV LOOP. WV LOOP ALSO SHOWING WELL DEFINED S/W PUSHING INTO OK/C-TX. MEANWHILE TROF DIGGING INTO THE WEST.
.SHORT TERM [TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY]
OVERALL PATTERN BECOMES MORE AMPLIFIED DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH A L/W TROF OVER THE EAST PUMPING UP RIDGE OVER THE EAST. TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL BE DRY. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING. BY SAT, A BIT OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE BEGINS TO WORK BACK WEST DUE TO FLOW AROUND UPR HIGH OVER THE MID-ATL AND UPR LOW OFF SC COAST. THE UPR LOW IS FCST TO RETROGRADE BACK WEST ACROSS N-FL AND GULF COAST AS IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THIS OPENS THE DOOR FOR INCREASED MOISTURE BEING PULLED INTO OUR REGION ON SUNDAY. WILL HIT CLDNS HARDER FOR SUNDAY BUT APPEARS ATM COLUMN WILL BE TOO DRY TO SUPPORT ANY POPS. MOS GUIDANCES LOOKS FINE.
.LONG TERM [SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY]
UPR LOW OVR WEST TO OPEN UP AND SHOOT OUT TWD THE GRT LAKES BY WED. THIS WILL PUSH WEAK COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA BY LATE WED. ANOTHER MORE POTENT S/W MOVES INTO THE PLAINS BY LATE THU. AS FAR AS SENSIBLE WX IS CONCERNED WILL GO MOCLDY FOR MONDAY BUT CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF POPS UNTIL TUE IN LINE WITH GOING FCST. GIVEN TPC’S EXPECTED TRACK OF HURCN NORBERT, APPEARS MODELS ARE INJECTING SOME OF ITS MOISTURE INTO THE OVERALL SCHEME OF WX IN THIS TIME FRAME. THUS, I’M GOING TO KEEP FCST MOCLDY TUE-THU ALONG WITH CHC POPS.
HOLMES
