Tornado Watch Until 11 PM CDT

Severe Weather Outlook – **Moderate Risk**

8:20am

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF WEST TENNESSEE.

A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF
THE MODERATE RISK AREA…INCLUDING THE WESTERN HALF OF THE MID
SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A POWERFUL LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST AND INTENSIFY. AS SURFACE HEATING
COMMENCES EXPECT THE AIRMASS TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE. THIS
MAY ALLOW FOR DISCRETE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
THUNDERSTORM LINE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. ANY OF THESE STORMS
THAT DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THE LINE MAY BECOME SEVERE QUICKLY AND
BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS…LARGE HAIL…AND TORNADOES. A FEW
STRONG TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY DISCRETE STORMS
THAT CAN DEVELOP.

THE LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE ACROSS THE
MID SOUTH LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THIS LINE OF STORMS
WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANT AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
ISOLATED AREAS WHERE SIGNIFICANT BOW ECHOES MOVE THROUGH. LARGE
HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN 1 PM CDT AND
9 PM CDT ACROSS AREAS WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER…BETWEEN 3 PM
CDT AND 11 PM CDT ACROSS FAR WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI…AND BETWEEN 6 PM CDT AND 2 AM CDT ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

NWS/SPC/WTWO