Next Event: Could Be More Snow Than Rain

5:25 pm – You snow lovers who have not given up, hope is not gone!  I’m going to be watching for a low pressure to form over the Gulf of Mexico and it could very well be in “the” favored position for a snow event for West TN.  I know, I know “major disappointment in the works” is what some of you are thinking. The system hasn’t even formed yet and it is still a couple of days out, but let’s have a little fun with this.  If everything falls into place as it appears TODAY, here is what will happen:

• After a purely raw day today we look for a nice little warm-up with some sunshine on Wednesday.  Highs will be in the 50s.
• Thursday, we see increasing cloudiness.  Light rain or snow begins by midnight.  The later the precipitation waits to start, the greater the chance it will be all snow based on the atmospheric thermal profile projection.
• By daybreak Friday morning, 1 to 2 inches of snow will be on the ground in all of W. TN except maybe the Savannah area. There could be as much as 3 inches in the Memphis area.
• By noon Friday, snow accumulations of 3 to 4 inches are indicated over West TN.  The snow tapers off to flurries and the temperature hangs out around the freezing mark all afternoon.

So let’s stop there.  Now, dear reader, this is just a possible scenario. MY CONFIDENCE LEVEL ON A 1-5 SCALE WITH 5 BEING “CERTAIN” IS RIGHT NOW AT A “3″.  I believe it is one that is on the table of possibilities right now.  But as we know a lot can change between now and then. So check back often as I will update this again come morning!

Heavy Rains – Possibly a Little Flaky Today

5:00 am – My automated rain gauge registered a storm total of 3.79 inches – most fell in less than 12 hours.  Short post this AM.  Here is my forecast for the rest of the work week:

.TODAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BRISK WITH RAIN ON AND OFF AT TIMES THIS MORNING.  SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE MID 30S.
.TONIGHT…DECREASING CLOUDINESS AND COLD. LOW 27.
.WEDNESDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 53.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 31.
.THURSDAY…INCREASING CLOUDINESS. HIGH 46.
.THURSDAY NIGHT…CLOUDY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 32.
.FRIDAY…A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGH AROUND 40.

Interesting situation for the latter part of the week…stay tuned!!