Significant Weather Alert

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1109 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

TNZ052>055-089>092-010445-
DECATUR TN-FAYETTE TN-HENDERSON TN-MADISON TN-CHESTER TN-HARDEMAN TN-
HARDIN TN-MCNAIRY TN-
1109 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

…THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR…

  DECATUR COUNTY IN TENNESSEE…
  CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  SOUTHEASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  HARDEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  NORTHWESTERN HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  HENDERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  SOUTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  MCNAIRY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40
TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 10 MILES WEST OF WILDERSVILLE TO 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAGRANGE AT 1109 PM CDT…MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN CHESTER…DECATUR…FAYETTE…HARDEMAN…HARDIN…
HENDERSON…MADISON AND MCNAIRY COUNTIES…INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
BOLIVAR…HENDERSON…LEXINGTON…SAVANNAH AND SELMER…SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT.

.A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALERT
AREA.

Significant Weather Alert

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1024 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

TNZ020-050>052-089-090-010415-
CROCKETT TN-FAYETTE TN-GIBSON TN-HAYWOOD TN-MADISON TN-HARDEMAN TN-
1024 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

…THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR…

  CROCKETT COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  SOUTHERN GIBSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  WESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  HAYWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…
  MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE…

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40
TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF ALAMO TO 22
MILES WEST OF SOMERVILLE AT 1024 PM CDT…MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CROCKETT…FAYETTE…GIBSON…HARDEMAN…HAYWOOD AND
MADISON COUNTIES…INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BOLIVAR…BROWNSVILLE…
HUMBOLDT AND JACKSON…SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT.

.A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALERT
AREA

Line of Severe T’storms Moving East 55 mph

10:20am – Line of severe thunderstorms is entering NW Haywood Co at this time.  The Storm Tracker Plus Pathcast places the storms into the following communities:

10:39pm – Alamo

10:52pm – Humboldt

10:57pm – N. Jackson

10:58pm – Downtown Jackson

11:01pm – Medina

11:03pm – Milan

Severe T’storm Watch #151 Until 2 AM Tuesday

Hazardous Weather Outlook

From the NWS:

452 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS…
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL…NORTH MISSISSIPPI…AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT

HEAVY RAIN IS AGAIN EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING…BETWEEN 5 PM CDT AND 10 AM CDT.
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED AND MAY RESULT IN FLASH
FLOODING. ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING OR WORSENING OF EXISTING RIVER
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDSOUTH. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS NORTH OF A MARIANNA
ARKANSAS…TO OLIVE BRANCH MISSISSIPPI…TO PARSONS TENNESSEE LINE
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THE BEST TIME
FRAME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM CDT AND MIDNIGHT CDT.
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. A TORNADO
OR TWO MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THESE LOCATIONS AS WELL.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OUTSIDE THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS…GUSTY WINDS…AND SMALL HAIL BEING THE
MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS…SMALL HAIL…AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

MORE HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
WHICH MAY CAUSE AND ENHANCE FLOODING. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOOD
WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

Heavy Rain Threat; Strong T’storms Possible

4:30 am – FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED
  ACROSS THE WATCH AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SEVERAL
  INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH WILL LIKELY
  RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AS THE AREA REMAINS SATURATED FROM
  PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS.

* ALONG WITH THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT…NEW RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO
  EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS…THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL…
  AND EXTREME WEST TENNESSEE. RIVER FORECASTS SHOULD BE
  MONITORED FOR THE LATEST CREST FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
  DAYS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. (NWS)

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

FORECAST

.TODAY…BREEZY AND MILD WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A HIGH 72. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT…SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. LOW AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY…MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH 66. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT…PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER. LOW 41.
.WEDNESDAY…MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 62.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

From the NWS:

234 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2008

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS…NORTH
  MISSISSIPPI…SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST TENNESSEE…
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS…IN EAST ARKANSAS…CLAY…
  CRAIGHEAD…CRITTENDEN…CROSS…GREENE…LAWRENCE…LEE…
  MISSISSIPPI…POINSETT…RANDOLPH AND ST. FRANCIS. IN NORTH
  MISSISSIPPI…DESOTO AND TUNICA. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI…
  DUNKLIN AND PEMISCOT. IN WEST TENNESSEE…CARROLL…CHESTER…
  CROCKETT…DECATUR…DYER…FAYETTE…GIBSON…HARDEMAN…
  HAYWOOD…HENDERSON…HENRY…LAKE…LAUDERDALE…MADISON…
  OBION…SHELBY…TIPTON AND WEAKLEY.

* THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT
  THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND A
  STRONG COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO
  2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING ACROSS
  NORTHEAST ARKANSAS…MISSOURI BOOTHEEL…AND WEST TENNESSEE AS
  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. BY MONDAY
  NIGHT…THE COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN PUSHING INTO THE MIDSOUTH
  BRINGING ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WITH THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND FROM RECENT
  HEAVY RAINS…THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT WILL INCREASE.

* ALONG WITH THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT…RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO
  EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS…THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL…
  AND EXTREME WEST TENNESSEE. RIVER FORECASTS SHOULD BE MONITORED
  FOR THE LATEST CREST FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

$$

KNS

Cold Front Pushing Through W. TN

5:00am – Radar at this time showing thunderstorms pushing through W. TN.  This is generally along a cold front that is pushing through the area. 

Surface reports suggest that a weak low pressure is on the front due west of Jackson over the MS River.  This is enhancing some of the t’storm activity this morning.  Temperatures drop 10 degrees quickly with the front’s passage.  Current indications are that temps will stay in the 50s all day.  Rain chances should begin to taper off this afternoon as the front continues its southward push.

.TODAY…OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER WITH

TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT…A SPOTTY SHOWER POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING, OTHERWISE

MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH 58. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY…BREEZY AND WARMER WITH A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH 72. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.

Late Night T’storms May Be Severe

7:30pm – Regional radar showing thunderstorms progressing toward W. TN. 

From the NWS:

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE MID-SOUTH FROM THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT…SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS…THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL…AND
NORTHWEST TENNESSEE LATE THIS EVENING AND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME OF
THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS.

Mild & Breezy

5:00am – Here is my forecast through the weekend:

.TODAY…BREEZY AND MILD.  MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH 74.
.TONIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SPOTTY SHOWER OR TWO. LOW AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY…OCCASIONAL SHOWERS ALONG WITH ONE OR TWO THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH 65. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT…SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING, OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOW 43. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH 61. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY…BREEZY AND WARMER WITH A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH 74. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.